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Crown Green Handicap

Fred Hull

Team: Black HorseDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

738

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

101

Matches Played

50

Wins

51

Losses

50%

Win Rate

8.7

Avg Win Margin

8.7

Avg Loss Margin

26-23

Home Record

24-28

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
62 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 62 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

50 wins

Next goal: Centurion50/100
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 101 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Apr19 Jul23 May9 Apr2 Jul15 Apr22 Jul6 May1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
52%
score+0.03→contribution+0.01
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.6
score+0.27→contribution+0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.8
score-0.13→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
729
score-0.28→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score+0.021
Sample Size Confidence
100%(62/41 matches)
Rating1006 → shrunk 1006→ adjusted 759
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)706
Recency Blend40% (62 recent matches)
Final Rating738
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

50W51L101 matches·49.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Black Horse2022–2026Division 3, Division 2101505149.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Tom FrithA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2026Ian CarterH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 3
8/11/2026Neil MorelandA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2026Ian AppletonA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2026S MoonH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
6/30/2026Dennis MussellA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
6/16/2026Brian MatthewsA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
6/9/2026Keith WalshA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
6/3/2026Neil MorelandH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
5/26/2026Gary ElliotA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2026David CottamH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026John HopeA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
5/6/2026Alan BurrowsH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
4/28/2026J ConultyA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2026Alan CresswellA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
4/8/2026Les JonesH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
9/2/2025Chris MillsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Alan BurrowsH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025John CooperA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2025Kevin MarshA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Garry AppletonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Callum RothwellA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Peter O'ConnorA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Alan DelahuntH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Arthur HaggertyH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Colin PritchardA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025P MooreH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Alan BurrowsA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Liam RogersH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Lee BolanA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Ian ManchesterH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Jim RennisonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Paul SpoonerA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025B WhalleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025Paul KellyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Stuart BloxhamH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Peter BannonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Ronnie MillsH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
9/11/2024Paul CroweA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
9/3/2024Phil NewA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
8/27/2024Steven LeaveslyH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024M WatkinsH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/13/2024Geoff ParrA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Frank TwissH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Robert PageH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
7/23/2024Dave AshcroftH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2024Gary IrelandA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024Geoff HoughtonH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Ray BatesA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024Peter FreeH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024D BoardmanA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2024Ken GreenallA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024Phil MillingtonH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2024Alan TaggartA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/15/2024D FitzgeraldA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2024Rob BallH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
4/30/2024Roy BryanA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2024Jonathan FenneyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
4/16/2024Peter FreeA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2024Anthony SinerH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023Phillip AlmondH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023Alex WallaceA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Jamie WilliamsA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023Ken FordH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023P MurphyA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023Phil WatkinsH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023Peter ScottA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023P CollinsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
6/20/2023Alan DelahuntH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Ken NaylorH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023Paul BoltonA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023Ernie HarrisonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023Ian CunninghamA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023Neil CunninghamH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
5/9/2023Albert DayA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/2/2023Paul DolanH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2023Tom EustaceA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
4/11/2023Dennis MussellA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
9/6/2022John BartonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022D TabernerA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Bill MolyneuxH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022Craig BrandA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Austin DavisH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Robbie MarshallA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Alan CatterallH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022Derek RogersA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022D HughesH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Simon ReadA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022Frank HolcroftH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Ian HewittH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022Jimmy SmithA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Mike SpencerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022Steve ThomasA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022David DaleH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Kevin KearnsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2022Anthony PeetA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Dave NimmoH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022Michael WhitesideA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022Gordon DerbyshireA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLWWL
Last 1040% win rate↑ improving
WLWWLLWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Alan Burrows21366.7%5/6/2026
Neil Moreland11250%8/11/2026
Dennis Mussell11250%6/30/2026
Absent202100%6/24/2026
Alan Delahunt11250%7/22/2025
Peter Free11250%6/25/2024
Tom Frith101100%9/1/2026
Ian Carter0110%8/26/2026
Ian Appleton101100%7/29/2026
S Moon0110%7/8/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)6/24/2026
Heaviest Defeat
D Taberner (-17)8/30/2022
Best Season
202468% · 22 matches
Worst Season
202536% · 22 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 49%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
767101 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-325% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
49-4851% win rate

By Division

Division 334-24 (59%)
Division 216-27 (37%)
Division 237.2%
16W·27L·43 played
Division 358.6%
34W·24L·58 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

20.2 (101 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026